YRD Yirendai Ltd.

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Yiren Digital Narrows Its Loss as Credit Heals, but a Shrinking Loan Book, Related-Party Write-Downs and Faster Cash Burn Dominate the Quarter

Yiren Digital (YRD) reported a loss of $0.75 per share for the June quarter. Earnings fell 231.6% from a year earlier, when the company earned RMB4.11 per diluted ADS. Revenue of $131.17 million was down 43.1% year over year; in local currency, the company reported a 46% drop to RMB890.0 million. No consensus estimate or Earnings Whisper number was available, so there is no surprise to measure. That leaves the underlying trends to tell the story. The net loss narrowed 9% sequentially to RMB449.6 million, and later-stage delinquencies improved again. Those gains were earned by shrinking the business, and they arrived alongside a large related-party write-down and a sharp drop in cash. That is the central tension of the quarter.

The quality of the sequential improvement deserves scrutiny. Provisions for contingent liabilities fell 63% to RMB233.3 million, helped by lower risk-taking volume and a net reversal on the existing portfolio. That relief was largely absorbed by a jump in allowances for contract assets and receivables, which rose to RMB502.8 million from RMB176.4 million. Management attributed the increase to a reassessment of certain related-party loan receivables and to aging legacy accounts. The non-GAAP picture offers little comfort. Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of RMB340.7 million, essentially unchanged from Q1's RMB336.8 million loss, and the margin slipped to -38.3% from -36.8%. The call noted that operating results were roughly break-even excluding allowances. The problem is that those allowances keep recurring in different forms.

The balance sheet deserves as much attention as the income statement. Operating cash outflow widened to RMB1.03 billion from RMB655.6 million, which the company attributed to:

- lower fee collections;

- prepayments for collection, system and marketing services;

- continued indemnity payments.

Cash and equivalents fell to RMB1.70 billion from RMB2.45 billion in March and RMB3.35 billion at year-end, and financial investments halved to RMB252 million. Separately, RMB1.45 billion paid to a related party under common control for a proposed acquisition was reclassified into equity as a contra account. The company cited uncertainty over whether the deal will close and over the target's net assets. Together with the loss, that pushed shareholders' equity down to RMB6.85 billion from RMB8.77 billion in a single quarter. Against that backdrop, the new US$20 million buyback is modest.

The credit story is genuinely better, but it is a story of retreat.

- **Delinquencies:** 31-60 day delinquency fell to 2.0% from 2.7%, and 61-90 day fell to 2.4% from 3.2%. The 1-30 day bucket was flat at 2.5%. All three buckets remain roughly double their December 2024 levels.

- **New vintages:** The 2026 Q1 vintage shows 0.7% 90+ day delinquency at four months, versus 1.1% for the troubled 2025 Q3 and Q4 cohorts.

- **Borrower mix:** Repeat borrowers reached 82% of volume.

- **Volume:** Loans facilitated fell 29% sequentially to RMB6.3 billion, borrowers served dropped 74% year over year, and the performing balance shrank 30% to RMB15.1 billion.

Management said it will not return to its prior risk-taking scale and is pivoting to an asset-light referral model under tighter regulatory pricing caps. That shift matters for revenue. Guarantee services, at RMB493.8 million, now make up more than half of revenue and are tied to a legacy book that is running off quickly.

The insurance business, pitched as the diversification engine, stumbled. Clients rose 281% year over year and 14% sequentially. However, brokerage revenue fell 23% sequentially to RMB67.3 million after the company lowered estimated renewal rates on certain internet products and adjusted revenue on the existing portfolio accordingly. Gross written premiums were down 1% year over year, and renewal premiums fell to RMB305.9 million from RMB409.7 million. Segment sales and marketing spending jumped to RMB20.9 million from RMB2.4 million. Origination and servicing costs of RMB69.0 million exceeded segment revenue on their own. For now, client growth is being bought rather than monetized.

Management's tone shifted noticeably. Last quarter's 'inflection point' and 'never been more confident' gave way to talk of a 'demanding period' and the need to 'stabilize the core business.' No numeric guidance was offered. The forward catalysts lean increasingly on non-core items:

- a likely Q3 fair value gain from the Ethereum recovery since August;

- initial external sales of AI marketing technology to insurance partners;

- a warrant-exercise notice for a controlling stake in a profitable, Southeast Asia-focused AI entertainment platform with about 3.8 million users.

That last move adds execution and capital-allocation risk at a time when cash is shrinking and related-party exposures are already under reassessment. Bears have legitimate ammunition.

The market has not been giving the company the benefit of the doubt. Shares opened at just $1.19 after the June report, roughly half the current 200-day moving average of $2.25. No updated sentiment reading was available to gauge how investor expectations moved around this release.

The bottom line is that Yiren Digital delivered cleaner credit metrics and a slightly smaller loss, but did so by shrinking its lending franchise while absorbing related-party write-downs, faster cash burn and a stalled insurance growth story. Until the asset-light model shows it can stabilize revenue without further balance-sheet erosion, the improving delinquency data looks more like damage control than a turnaround.

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