CEVA Ceva, Inc.

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Ceva, Inc. Q3 F2026 Earnings Call Transcript

AI Conference Call Analysis

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Rocco
Conference Operator
Good day and welcome to the CEVA, Inc., third quarter of 2026 earnings conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad, and to withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note, today's event is being recorded. I'd now like to hand the conference over to Richard Kingston. Vice President, Market Intelligence, and Investor in Public Relations. Please go ahead.
Richard Kingston
Vice President, Market Intelligence and Investor Relations
Thank you, Rocco. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to SEVA's third quarter 2026 earnings conference call. Joining me today are Amir Panush, Chief Executive Officer, and Yaniv Arieli, Chief Financial Officer. Before handing the call over to Amir, I'd like to remind everyone that today's discussion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties as well as assumptions that if they materialize or prove incorrect could cause our results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. Important factors that can cause actual results to differ include but are not limited to those stated in our earnings release issued earlier today and in our filings with the SEC. We will also discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures which we believe provide investors with additional insight into our core operating performance Reconciliations between our GAAP and non-GAAP results are included in the earnings release issue this morning and available on the investors section of our website. With that said, I'll turn the call over to Amir. Amir?
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, Richard, and good morning, everyone. During the first quarter, we made good progress across our business. AI licensing revenues reached a record, accounting for more than 35% of total licensing and related revenues. Our customers shipped 623 million SIVA power devices matching our all-time quarterly record and non-GAAP earnings per share improved. Overall licensing revenues was lower than we anticipated as a significant multi-year connectivity agreement with a key strategic customer that we expected to sign in the third quarter was delayed. It has since been signed early in the fourth quarter and I continue to be very encouraged by our diversified licensing pipeline across Connect, Sense and Infer. In royalties, we saw strong growth in mobile and board-based IoT, with royalties up 18% sequentially, although memory market headwinds tempered volume across compute-intensive consumer devices such as smartphones, PCs and TVs. These developments reflect the continuous execution of our strategy to broaden our addressable markets, deepen our relationships with leading semiconductor companies, OEMs, and system players, and help our customers bring successful SIVA-powered products to market, which drives our future royalties. Turning now first to licensing, we signed 10 agreements during the quarter. including three we first-time customers. AI-related deals were particularly strong accounting for six of these agreements. We believe our record quarterly AI licensing revenues demonstrate that our investment in AI technologies is translating into meaningful business today and will drive long-term royalty growth. Building on this momentum, we recently introduced our expanding and the Nupo family of AI processors with new market-leading features and significant improvements in performance and energy efficiency. With the newest addition to the family, Nupo Ultra, we are extending Silver Reach beyond the edge into AI infrastructure. We expect this will significantly expand our addressable market as data center solutions providers seek greater efficiency across inference systems. The expanded portfolio builds on our existing base of more than 50 new pro customers and opens new opportunities in areas such as memory and connectivity infrastructure, where efficient AI processing is becoming critical. We are already seeing customers' interest across these new applications, including in the quarter, A new customer selected NupoM for an AI infrastructure application focused on improving the efficiency of data centers in foreign systems. Other edge AI agreements targeted consumer, automotive, and industrial markets. We also made further progress towards NPU royalty generation. As highlighted in our November 2nd announcement, our customers, Mobilint, recently launched its Regulus AI SoC, which incorporates both our Nupo Nano NPU and SensePo AI DSP technologies in the same SoC, illustrating how adoptions of multiple SIVA technology can expand our royalty opportunity per device. Several other Nupo customers completed cheap tape-outs during the third quarter, and we expect Initial Newport royalties around the end of this year or early 2027. Earning to connect, our wireless connectivity business continues to benefit from the growing need for multiple connectivity technologies in increasingly intelligent devices. Our leadership in this market was recently reaffirmed by IPNest, which ranks silver number one in wireless interface IP for the third successive year, with approximately 68% market share by revenue. During the quarter, three of our highest volume connectivity customers extended their long-standing agreements with SIVA for multiple years and added more SIVA IP. One licensed our Wi-Fi 6 and Wi-Fi 7 technologies, complementing our Bluetooth and DSP IP. It already ships in high volume. Combining connectivity technologies within the same customer is a core part of our strategy, and more than 30 customers now license both Bluetooth and Wi-Fi from us, increasing our footprint within their products and our royalty content per device. In Sense, we secured a new agreement for our motion engine hex technology to enable advanced motion-based interaction Our customer is targeting one of the world's largest television brands. Together with last year's agreements with a leading smart TV platform provider to integrate motion engine into its operating system, this extends our presence across both the platform and device levels of the smart TV ecosystem, enabling more intuitive and precise user experiences as televisions evolve into increasingly interactive entertainment and gaming platforms. Turning now to royalties, revenue increased 3% year-over-year on shipments of 623 million SIVA-powered devices, matching our all-time quarterly record. Our IoT unit volume reflects the scale and penetration of our connectivity business, with strong Bluetooth volumes Record cellular IoT shipments and record Wi-Fi 6 unit shipments, which carry higher royalty value. This trend was partly offset by weakness in the compute-intensive consumer devices, such as smartphones, PCs, and TVs, where memory market headwinds weighed on demand. A key development was continued ramp of internally developed modem at the major US customers. contributing to growth in mobile royalties. This is the first time our customers has moved its internally developed modems into high-volume production across its mainstream flagship smartphone models, an important step for SIVA in this market. We expect this volume ramp to accelerate significantly in the fourth quarter, supported by a full quarter of device shipments across multiple models, and to continue into 2027 and beyond. We believe this together with continued share gains in board-based IoT will support future royalty growth. Yaniv will provide more detail on the royalty results in his financials review. In summary, the third quarter showed progress across each part of our strategy. AI is becoming a meaningful licensing business. Our connectivity franchise continues to scale across IoT. and a new smartphone-worthy cycle is underway. At the same time, three of our highest volume connectivity customers added more SIVA technologies and extended the relationships with us well into the future, supporting a continued increase in our average selling price per design. With that, I will turn the call over to Yaniv to review our financial results.
Yaniv Arieli
Chief Financial Officer
Thank you, Amir. Good morning, everyone. I'll now review our financial results for the third quarter. Revenue for the third quarter increased 2% year-over-year to $29.1 million, supported by 18% sequential royalty growth of shipments of 623 million SIVA power devices, matching our all-time quarterly record. The revenue and other financial breakdowns are as follows. Unless otherwise stated, all comparisons are to the third quarter of 2025. Licensing and related revenues increased 2% to $16.3 million, representing approximately 56% of our total revenues. AI licensing reached a quarterly record and accounted for more than 35% of our total licensing and related revenues. reflecting the growing commercial adoption of our AI portfolio and expanding our future royalty opportunity. Royalty revenues increased 3% year over year and 18% sequentially to $12.7 million, representing approximately 44% of total revenues. Growth was led by the continued ramp of internally developed modems and a major U.S. customer and record royalty revenues related to our wireless IoT business lines. GAAP gross margin was 85% compared to 88%. Non-GAAP gross margin was 86% compared to 89%. GAAP operating expenses were $28.3 million at the low end of our guidance reflecting expense control. Non-GAAP operating expenses excluding equity-based compensation expenses, amortization of acquired intangibles, and acquisition-related costs were $22.5 million, also at the low end of our guidance. GAAP operating loss was $3.5 million compared to GAAP operating loss of $2.1 million. Non-GAAP operating income was $2.5 million compared to $3.1 million. Non-GAAP operating margin was 9%. Net financial income was $2.3 million compared with $1.2 million attributed to better hedging. Income taxes expense was approximately $1.1 million compared to $1.7 million with a decrease mainly due to lower withholding taxes. GetNet loss was $2.3 million or $0.08 per diluted share compared to GetNet loss of $2.5 million or $0.10 per diluted share. Non-GAAP net income increased 39% to $3.8 million and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share increased 18% to $0.13. Non-GAAP net income increased 67% sequentially from $2.3 million, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share increased by 63% from $0.08. With respect to other related data, during the quarter, customers shipped 623 million C-valve power devices, an increase of 8% compared to the third quarter of 2025 in 10% sequential. Of those shipments, mobile shipments reached 82 million units or approximately 13% of the total, an increase of 19% year over year and 34% sequential. Mobile royalty revenues increased 20% year over year and 30% sequential. Consumer IoT shipments increased 4% to 518 million units. Industrial IoT shipments increased 120% to 23 million units. Looking at our connectivity technologies, these shipment metrics demonstrate the breadth of our royalty base across multiple end markets. Bluetooth shipments increased 9% to 329 million units. Cellular IoT shipments reached a new quarterly record of 69 million units, up 2%. Wi-Fi shipments were 78 million units, down 6%. We saw a significant increase in royalty contribution from higher value Wi-Fi 6 products. reflecting the improving technology mix of our customers' deployments, with Wi-Fi 6 representing 57% of Wi-Fi unit shipments up from 24%. As for the balance sheet items, at the end of the quarter, with approximately $221 million in cash, cash equivalents, marketable securities, and bank deposits, providing significant Financial Flexibility to support continued investments in our technology roadmap while maintaining a disciplined approach to capital allocation, including selective strategic M&A opportunities that can accelerate our growth. Today's sales outstanding were 56 days lower than the 70 days in the prior quarter. During the quarter, We generated $1.5 million of cash from operating activities. Depreciation and amortization expenses were $0.8 million, where capital expenditures totaled $1.1 million. At the end of the quarter, we employed 394 people, including 315 engineers, reflecting the continued investment in innovation, while maintaining disciplined expense management.
Yaniv Arieli
Chief Financial Officer
Turning to our outlook.
Yaniv Arieli
Chief Financial Officer
In the first nine months of 2026, licensing and related revenues increased 14% year over year, led by strong demand for AI technology. Our pipeline is robust with healthy deal flow across Connect, Sense, and Infer heading into 2027. In royalties, customers shipped SIVA-powered devices at a level matching our all-time quarterly record, reflecting the scale of our IoT connectivity business despite memory market headwinds and compute-sensitive consumer markets. Smart Forum Modems add a multi-year growth driver for us through 2027 and beyond. We expect a fourth quarter, strong fourth quarter, with approximately 24% sequential revenue growth at the midpoint of our guidance. This would represent the highest quarterly revenues in CIVAS history and we expect non-GAAP diluted EPS to more than double sequential. Our fourth quarter outlook is based upon expected step-up in smartphone modem royalties in a major U.S. customer, typical fourth quarter seasonality, and a robust licensing pipeline. It also reflects a disciplined assessment of the opportunities we expect to convert in this quarter. At the midpoint of our fourth quarter guidance implies full-year 2026 revenue growth of approximately 11%. We'll continue to invest in our roadmap while carefully management costs and mitigating foreign exchange headwinds, and now expect full year non-GAAP expense growth, which is the cost of revenues and the OPEX of approximately 7% or $7 million, which is below our previous expectations.
Yaniv Arieli
Chief Financial Officer
Fourth quarter guidance.
Yaniv Arieli
Chief Financial Officer
Revenues are expected to be in the range of $34 to $38 million. Gross margin is expected to be approximately 88% on GAAP basis and 89% on non-GAAP basis, excluding approximately $0.2 million of equity-based compensation expense and $0.1 million of amortization of acquired intangible. Gap operating expense are expected to be between $27.6 and $28.6 million, including approximately $4.3 million of equity-based compensation expenses and $0.1 million of amortization of acquired intangibles and $0.1 million for acquisition-related costs. Non-gap operating expenses are expected to be between $23.1 and $24.1 million. Net financial income expected to be approximately $2 million. Income tax expense is expected to be approximately $1.8 million. And our weighted average diluted share count is expected to be approximately $30.1 million in shares on GAAP and non-GAAP basis. Rocco, we are ready to take questions now.
Rocco
Conference Operator
Thank you. We'll now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed and you'd like to withdraw your question, please press star then two. Today's first question comes from Kevin Cassidy at Rosenblatt Securities. Please go ahead.
Kevin Cassidy
Research Analyst, Rosenblatt Securities
Yes, thanks for taking my question, and congratulations on the results. Maybe just to look at the mobile market, I know you have the U.S. customer that's started shipping, but how about the rest of the market? Can you give us a feel for how the mobile market is, and what are your customers saying about unit shipments this quarter and even into next year?
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, thanks for the question, Kevin. This is Amir. So there are several things that we need to keep in mind as we look at the mobile market. We start first, as you mentioned, with the U.S. customers. We expect a very significant ramp in Q4 as we go into 2027. Definitely in this quarter, Q3, it was only just a very short period of time within the quarter, within the end of the quarter. So the contribution in this quarter was quite minimal comparing to what we expect in Q4 next year. As we look at the overall smartphone market, as we also commented in the script, overall this market, I would say also the so-called what we call compute-intensive consumer market, whether it's so-called the TV, PCs, and mobile, that market is under pressure because of the price increase in the market. And if we compare this year versus last year, definitely we have seen decline in the overall so-called addressable market, the size of the market. Having said that, and we also mentioned that in the previous quarter, we're seeing our low-tier customer that supplies our technology, while they started the year very, very soft in Q1, we really see a very strong sequential growth as we go through the year. So Q2 was much stronger, now Q3 is stronger. And while the overall market is soft, we are seeing them actually also gaining market share. So net... Year-over-year, it's still lower than last year, but for us, at least, the impact is much less because the low-tier customers are actually gaining share, going quarter-over-quarter, and specifically with the U.S. customers, we are looking for a very significant ramp as we go to Q4 and beyond.
Yaniv Arieli
Chief Financial Officer
Kevin, maybe I would add one more thing, that if you look at the mobile royalty revenues, with all the headwinds and the difficulties, they grew 20% dollar-wise for us year-over-year, 30% sequential. So still we're seeing higher, more 4G and 5G-type phones versus 2G and 3G phones a year ago, which bears higher ASPs. And 20% year-over-year doesn't yet before the big U.S. guy starts to kick in with much higher volume and dollars. It's still a very solid contribution for mobile discourse.
Kevin Cassidy
Research Analyst, Rosenblatt Securities
Okay, great. Thank you. And maybe as you're entering into the AI infrastructure market with the Nuo Pro, is there going to be a difference in time to market or time to royalty in the AI infrastructure versus AI Edge?
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, thanks for the question, Kevin. First, we are super excited how we are doing in the market overall with our MPU product line. As we mentioned, now we have more than 15 customers that already license the technology. And based on that success on the edge side in terms of the performance and what we can support the customer base, what we've seen is actually a very good capability to expand it into the infrastructure. And within the infrastructure market, we see it actually two types of customers adopting our technology. One is more the customers that want so-called to internalize those capabilities and develop their own NPU ASIC, and they don't want to start from scratch. can be OEMs or semiconductor customers. But also we see whether it's the memory supplier or the so-called the high-speed wire connectivity suppliers looking to add NPU so-called on their own edge within the infrastructure to accelerate the performance. And our technology that really can customize and scale up and down a great, great fit and provide an extremely good performance to run inference on the infrastructure. In terms of time to market your question, Actually, it's quite similar. Overall, AI is moving very, very rapidly. So there is very strong and very push and demands to get those products to market as quickly as possible. So this is not longer than what we've seen on the edge. It's our typical 80 to 24 months to get to royalty. The other thing that I will mention on the infrastructure, actually, we already started licensing this new technology last quarter. And this quarter, we got another customers that licensing the technology. So while we just came and announced it more publicly this quarter. This technology we have been and it's already starting to get integrated by several customers.
Kevin Cassidy
Research Analyst, Rosenblatt Securities
Okay, great. Thank you. Thanks, Kevin.
Rocco
Conference Operator
Our next question today comes from Suji De Silva at Roth Capital. Please go ahead.
Suji De Silva
Research Analyst, Roth Capital Partners
Hi, Amir. How are you, Yaniv? On the 4Q licensing versus 3Q, I know there's a large deal signing moving into 4Q. Can you give us a sense of that magnitude of the impact there? And then the run rate into 27, what's the normalized rate through the movement of that deal?
Yaniv Arieli
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, you know, it's an important deal for us. It's an existing customer, a multi-use type of technology, a significant deal. And it's a bit of a timing issue of not being able to close it in the third quarter, but it was already closed in the beginning of the fourth quarter. We saw a pretty nice run rate in the first two quarters of the year of that $18-ish million level. We're confident with these types of levels. We're adding more technology, more offerings. We have been able to license new technologies to existing customers this quarter. So for the time being, we are very comfortable with these higher levels than last year. and we are looking at a nice growth year over year with the licensing which will give us strong opportunities to increase royalties in years to come.
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Yes, Suji, I may add a few other data points here. So if we look at the first three quarters of this year, licensing is 14% higher than the previous year. So overall, licensing has been strong and good. Yeah, unfortunately, meaningful deal here. as Yaniv mentioned with existing customers that they pushed to Q4, which we already signed. This deal, by the way, is a great deal. It's with existing customer that will expand and adding additional connectivity technology to their portfolio. So we are very excited about the deal that got signed. As well as overall, if we look at backlog of Q4 and the deals that we have in the pipeline, we are very confident with our ability to go and deliver in Q4. and actually finished year very nicely on the licensing overall.
Gary Mobley
Research Analyst, StoneX
Okay, great.
Suji De Silva
Research Analyst, Roth Capital Partners
And then thanks for that, Amir and Gabe. And then my second question, maybe, you know, following up on Kevin's question, you answered 18, typical time to royalties of 18 to 24 months, even for the AI Nupro infrastructure even. Based on the wins in the pipeline for that AI infrastructure and Nupro in general, when maybe the elbow or the kind of the inflection point in the royalties, like from here looking forward, just to understand, What the time frame to that might be based on your visibility here?
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, so we mentioned also on the pre-pandemic remarks that we're expecting some of the royalties that probably will start in the coming Q4, but the more ramp it will start through 2027 and then even further in 2028. Another data point that I can share is and the large PC customer that we mentioned previously. Actually, we have taped out the device with them. So we really are very, very encouraged with the execution and how that's moving forward. We have now multiple customers that so-called achieved the tape-out, and they are targeting to ramp within 2027. So overall, very, very encouraging signs on that one.
Joseph Cardoso
Research Analyst, J.P. Morgan
Great. Appreciate that, Colin. Thanks, guys.
Rocco
Conference Operator
Thank you. Our next question today comes from Joseph Cardo at J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.
Joseph Cardoso
Research Analyst, J.P. Morgan
Good morning. Thanks for the question. Maybe for the first one, Wi-Fi units stopped in again this quarter on a sequential basis and was just curious if you could help us think through the ramp here going forward, particularly as you highlighted Wi-Fi 6 record unit or record quarter here. Maybe just help us think about how do we think about the crossover of Wi-Fi 6 and Wi-Fi 5 or the legacy Wi-Fi products rolling off as we think about going forward. and then I do have a quick follow-up. Thank you.
Yaniv Arieli
Chief Financial Officer
Sure. I'm happy to add some color here. Wi-Fi shipments this quarter were 78 million units, not the highest. It was down 6% from a volume perspective year over year. But we mentioned a very interesting data point which we have been talking about for a while now, and that's replacing the existing Wi-Fi 4 with Wi-Fi 6 technology. It's said for a while that the ASPs and the technology is more expensive and much higher RMPA for us. And we have doubled the volume of Wi-Fi 6 for more of 50% of that volume up from a year ago to 24%. What that means is that the royalty contribution on those 78 million devices more than doubled year over year while the units went down. And that is exactly why the way to achieve that is to replace with the newer Wi-Fi technologies. And we are seeing it very strongly this quarter. As soon as that continues, then Wi-Fi units continue to increase, that will have a double impact on the overall revenue and the dollars we collect.
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Maybe I'll add a few more data points. First, I would say we have really established extremely strong leadership in the marketplace with our wireless connectivity, both Bluetooth and Wi-Fi technology. If we look at Wi-Fi, now we have more than 30 customers that already now have licensed both the Wi-Fi and Bluetooth technology from us, so-called a combo technology. And within Wi-Fi 6, we now have more than 40 customers that already license our Wi-Fi 6. Really, quarter by quarter, we keep seeing more customers ramping now their products into volume shipments and then keep growing that volume shipment. So we expect the Wi-Fi volume shipments to grow significantly, while, as Yaniv pointed out, also the transition from Wi-Fi 4 to Wi-Fi 6 will come in a very, very strong phase, as we already now seen in this quarter. So we are very encouraged about that and the trajectory as it's going to move forward.
Joseph Cardoso
Research Analyst, J.P. Morgan
Thank you for the color both there. And maybe as my follow-up, you know, it sounds like the scope of opportunities are expanding for you guys. You know, I think now Discord, you also talked about television program that's in the pipeline, you know, but simultaneously engineering headcount continues to trend lower. Can you maybe just double-click on this dynamic? You know, what's driving it and how should we think about the sustainability of that going forward and implications to the cost structure here? Thank you.
Yaniv Arieli
Chief Financial Officer
Let me start with the cost structure maybe. The biggest hit for us in 2026 was unfortunately the dollar weakening against the euro and the shekel, which are the two main currencies, which probably about 300 or 400 engineers are located at. And that was about a 20% hit overall year over year. So that's something that is the major expense item. on our books this year. And even that, we have managed to decrease a bit and state that if in the prior guidance, the annual guidance, we talked about 8 million or 8%, now we have tuned that down to about 7%, the overall expense increase, which is about $7 million. So from a number perspective, hopefully that headwind is behind us and the comparison for next year will not be as hard as it was of 25 versus 26 from just the FX perspective. Headcount fluctuates up or down every quarter, but we're still investing a lot in R&D, especially the AI, and also in new markets like the RF add-on to Bluetooth and then to Wi-Fi technology. In some places, we're trying to be a bit more lean, and in others, we're continuing to invest heavily. Amir, maybe you want to add there?
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, what I would say is that first, from investment profile and how we look at the business, there are three things we want to make sure that we're going to execute well, and that's a very strong growth driver, and we'll keep investing in R&D. One, of course, is the AI and how they expand into infrastructure. The second is All those things we've been able pretty much to execute within the baselines of the hedge funds that we have had. As Yaniv mentioned, specifically in 2026 versus 2025, we had the headwinds of the exchange rate. For the most part, this is probably behind us as a comparison to next year. So we are well set basically to keep investing in R&D while at the end of the day driving improved profitability as the top line grows.
Yaniv Arieli
Chief Financial Officer
Thank you.
Rocco
Conference Operator
Our next question today comes from Josh Buckhalter at TD Cowen. Please go ahead.
Josh Buchalter
Research Analyst, TD Cowen
Hey, guys. Thank you for taking my question. We need to start, you know, it sounds like there's a good deal of renewed optimism in the smartphone market, specifically, you know, given what's going on with the modem share. Could you maybe speak to your philosophy on this business? Like, is this kind of in cash cow mode where you're monetizing previous investments, or are you guys investing to continue to expand opportunities specifically in the smartphone modem market? Thank you.
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, great question, Josh. I would say first, strategically for the company, as also we have indicated previously, our strategy is diversification, diversification of our product portfolio as well as market. So we are not targeting mobile as a specific market to so-called tailor our IP and customize just for that. We are building a board-based IP in order to get it into the different markets. Specifically for mobile, There are two trends that definitely we would like to see our technology, so-called, supporting that, and we see very good opportunities moving forward. One is all the things related to the conversion between satellite communication and the cellular communication, so-called 5G, 5G enhanced, the 3GPP, plus satellites. We mentioned already in the past design wins that we have in that perspective, and we are offering our PentaG solution as a complete software and hardware offering that our customers can take into the satellite communication as well as the solar communication as a single solution. The next is, of course, six digits that is coming in the coming few years. Our technology is developed such that is upgradable for that, and we are supporting the next generation of this technology. So this is another opportunity for us as we move forward. But overall, we'll continue developing our IP and not just for mobile, not just mobile as a target market, but as a board-based IP offering. And we are very, very happy to see that inflection coming right now just this quarter and really ramping in Q4 and beyond. So, this is a great ramp that we will see as we go through the 2027 NBO.
Josh Buchalter
Research Analyst, TD Cowen
Makes sense. Thank you for the color there. And then I guess I wanted to ask you about the 2026 guidance. I realized there was a timing issue related to the licensing deal that slipped into the fourth quarter. But did the magnitude of that change? I guess I was wondering why the annual guidance came down from your previous outlook, or was that just mainly like memory pricing impacting overall royalty volumes in your key end markets? Thank you.
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, great question. So I'll give a little bit of colors here. So as we look at Q4, how we guided Q4, right? First, the tailwinds are the thing that we are very encouraged by, of course, is the mobile ramp of the customer. This is an analogy overall that typically Q4 is very strong, as well as our backlog in the pipeline. That is, we are very, very encouraged to see that there's a very strong one for Q4. Having said that, as you pointed out, overall, if we look at the market, all the compute-intensive markets are under stress right now. There is some pressure there, whether it's smartphone overall, TVs, or PCs. So as we mix all those things together, a disciplined assessment of how we look at the quarter, also considering that this quarter and the end of day, we haven't executed to our expectation, we came with that guidance. Overall, we are very encouraging about how the quarter should look like, but this is a disciplined assessment based on all those inputs.
Yaniv Arieli
Chief Financial Officer
And obviously, with that said, we're still guiding to the best licensing revenue and royalty revenue. Thank you both. Thank you. And our next question today comes from Gary Murray at Stonex. Please go ahead.
Gary Mobley
Research Analyst, StoneX
Hi, everybody. Thanks for taking my question. I want to ask about new pro ultra in some of the early days traction into the AI data center infrastructure market. Essentially, what I want to know is, you know, who is the customer there or the target customer, you know, and how does it compare to, you know, ARM or x86 CPUs for agentic or inference workloads or even GPUs for that matter?
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, thanks, Gary, for the question. So first, just to clarify, this is not supposed to replace the very high-performance TPU that runs, let's say, training on the cloud. This is really to support acceleration and power efficiency optimization of doing inference on the cloud. And there are two different types of customers that are looking to license such technology from us. They are the OEM or the tier ones, so-called the semiconductor in that space that wants to drive their own accelerators development internally. And they don't want to start from scratch. And they're coming to us to license our NPO architecture. And on top of that, they build so-called a complete hardware software stack to optimize that performance. That can go alongside GPUs or CPUs in the overall system. And then within those racks or systems, there are definitely the memory suppliers and the high-speed connectivity suppliers. And what everyone sees is that those are the bottom lines in the system, whether you access to the memory or the interconnectivity. And having accelerators on that specific interface or memory, you can significantly improve the efficiency on the system, reduce the latency, and increase the overall power efficiency. Those type of customers also looking to have NPU or that type of capabilities, accelerators, and of course they don't have internally and they're coming to us to add it into their system.
Gary Mobley
Research Analyst, StoneX
The follow-up I'd like to ask about the progress on the automotive front. I know you've got a number of automotive processor licenses there. and I believe it's very censored on a new pro, so maybe if you can give us an update or some sort of outlook on when the initial automotive royalties might come to fruition.
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, so I think in a quarter, two quarters ago, we mentioned that our AIDSP technology is ramping in volume productions in automotive markets with both Renaissance and NXP. and, for example, the RV, what's the name of the Toyota car? The RAV4. Yeah, the RAV4 Toyota car, which is in very high volume right now in the U.S., and that car in their platform basically using our AI DSP technology. So this is right now already so-called in volume production, and we see the royalty coming, and it's going quarter after quarter. In addition, several of the NPUs Design that we announced with Mobilint and others are basically going to production within this year. And then we will see more ramping in 2027 with the different design wins that we had. Interestingly, also, we see overall in the automotive a request for very high-performance type of multi-core configuration, and our NPU with the NPU Ultra capabilities is a great fit for that.
Yaniv Arieli
Chief Financial Officer
Thanks Gary.
Rocco
Conference Operator
And our next question today comes from Charles Shi, Needham & Company. Please go ahead.
Charles Shi
Research Analyst, Needham & Company
Hi, thanks for taking my question. Maybe a follow-up on New Pro Ultra. You mentioned the two types of customers and at least the second type of memory suppliers, connectivity suppliers. It sounds like a DPU or data processing unit type of application or you may call it the SmartNIC but wondering if that's the case and is this more like NPU attached to DPU type of application if you can clarify. And on the first type of customers you just announced, OEM, Tier 1, I'm still a little bit confused that what exactly this product is for. And you said it's not the CPU, it's not GPU. It may work along with those, but what exactly is that application, if you can clarify?
Gary Mobley
Research Analyst, StoneX
Thank you.
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, thanks, Charles. As for the first question, I won't go into the specific implication, whether it's a DPU or something similar, but it is related to attaching to either the memory subsystem or the wired connectivity subsystem. And yeah, the thinking there is basically to accelerate the decode part of that system as basically the data moves between the the different setups within the whole chipset. So that's basically where we are supporting there. In terms of, what was the second question? I couldn't follow this.
Charles Shi
Research Analyst, Needham & Company
The first type of customers, you mentioned that there are two types of customers, right? The first type is OEM, the tier one semiconductor companies driving their own accelerator internally, and they are looking at the new pro ultra, and you already addressed the second type of customer, memory suppliers, connectivity suppliers. We'd like to have a little bit more color on the first type of customers. What exactly is the application of new Pro Ultra? And if you can provide some simple mental model for us to think about what this is for and we have a better way to think about the future opportunity. That's it.
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, so we see the Ultra actually fits in two places. And here we are talking about You know, hundreds to thousands of tops, type of implementation where you're running multi-core, multi-user, multi-batching configuration that can either be cloud inference where you want to be further to the GPU to have much more optimized, more efficient power NPU to accelerate some of the specific models that you want to run on the cloud inference. as well as some of the edge applications like automotive as you move to a really higher level of autonomy all the way to later on to autonomous driving and you want that level of capabilities to run those models with very low latency.
Charles Shi
Research Analyst, Needham & Company
Thank you. That will be all from me. Thank you. You're welcome, Charles.
Rocco
Conference Operator
Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. And our next question today comes from Martin Yang at Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.
Martin Yang
Research Analyst, Oppenheimer
Hi, thank you for taking my question. I want to ask about the 3Q licensing revenue growth. When you look at the breakdown of it, how much are from renewals or extensions among existing customers? Or maybe give the similar color regarding the first nine months of this year? Thank you.
Yaniv Arieli
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, a big portion of our customers are recurring customers. They come back to license either newer generations of, especially in the connect field, whether it's new Wi-Fi or Bluetooth standard that come out and are introduced every year to two years. Same applies for handsets and that type of standards. A newer type of existing customers have started in the last five years or so to come and license multiple types of technologies. You've seen many customers license combo Bluetooth and Wi-Fi. We're seeing recently add-ons of RF technologies to those digital modems. And that's a newer type of customers. And now we're seeing that same type of existing customers come also and utilize different AI configurations and technologies for their development. So I would say that every quarter, if we sign anywhere between a 10 to a dozen, 14 deals, you'll see anywhere between one to three, four new customers that join us and are first-time customers. The rest of them are existing customers, but in many, many cases to newer technologies. And that has been the sticking point The strategy that we have taken over the last couple of years to be able to offer those different players, whether it's Descent, Connect, or Infer, different technologies to help them out time-wise and the cost of development when we could offer it as a one-stop shop.
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, and maybe I'll add a little bit more color. So what we see with, for example, this quarter we announced 10 deals out of the three new customers, but the majority of the existing customers, they're either coming to us to purchase new technology that they haven't, like, for example, one of our customers this quarter, they used to be a DSP customer, then they added last year Bluetooth, and this year now we added this quarter Wi-Fi into the basket of technology that they're using from us, as well as Some of the customers are coming to basically get a newer, upgraded, better technology within the same so-called product line. So very few are so-called pure renewals. Almost most cases are about getting better, newer technology or additional technology.
Martin Yang
Research Analyst, Oppenheimer
Thanks for that, Calder. A follow-up on that comment is when you look at the new licensees from your pro, Do you see them as incremental or new customer base separate from your connectivity and other solutions? Or do you already see a big overlap between your pro licensees and your existing licensee base?
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, very good question, Martin. So if we talk about market that we are less present in, like, for example, what we talk about the infrastructure, where we talk about new expansion in the high-end automotive market and so on. So that's with the NPUs and many times our new customers licensing our NPU technology. But as we look more into the board-based consumer markets, we are so heavily penetrated with our connectivity technology that in many cases having NPU is an addition on top of the wireless technology that we are already providing.
Yaniv Arieli
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, and if you look at the deal count, out of 10 deals this quarter, six were for AI. So out of those six, we had few that were new, first-time customers, and all the rest are first-time AI customers, but based on existing customers that use completely different connectivity or other type of solutions from us. So in a sense, you know, maybe that same OEM or the same semi-guy has the same name, but the application that they are using is completely new and could be perceived as a new customer for that add-on or new technology that we're offering.
Martin Yang
Research Analyst, Oppenheimer
Thank you very much. That's it for me.
Yaniv Arieli
Chief Financial Officer
Thank you, Martin.
Rocco
Conference Operator
Thank you. And that concludes our question and answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Amir Panush for any closing remarks.
Amir Panush
Chief Executive Officer
Thank you. Before we close, I would like to put this quarter in the context of our long-term strategy. SEVA's business is built on turning today's licensing design win into tomorrow's royalty stream. AI licensing revenue reached a record this quarter, with initial Newport royalties approaching, and our customers' modern transition is expanding our participation in smartphones. Our strategy remains consistent, leveraging the breadth of our portfolio, selling multiple technologies into each customer, and moving towards more complete solutions offering that increase our value and royalty content per device. Together with our leadership in connectivity, this gives us multiple drivers of growth and confidence in the opportunity ahead. Richard, back to you.
Richard Kingston
Vice President, Market Intelligence and Investor Relations
Thanks, Amir. As a reminder, the prepared remarks for this conference call are accessible through the Investors section of our website. With regards to upcoming conferences, we will be participating in the following upcoming conferences. The 15th Annual Roth Technology Conference November 18th in New York. UBS Global Technology and AI Conference will be there December 3rd in Scottsdale, Arizona. And StoneX 15th Annual Discovery 101 Conference December 10th in New York. For further information on these events and all events we will be participating in can be found on the investor section of our website. Thank you and goodbye.
Rocco
Conference Operator
Thank you. That concludes today's conference call. We thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines and have a wonderful day.